AFL predictions

9 upcoming tips Β· 11 settled β€” our pick, confidence and the reasoning behind it.

πŸ“Š Past predictions β€” our track record & hit rate β†’

Carlton vs Fremantle

Fremantle to win 61%

The match-winner market rates Fremantle clear favourites on the road: consensus across 6 bookmakers puts them at roughly 61% implied probability, 21 points ahead of Carlton, with a best available price of 1.62. Derived from published odds β€” not betting advice.

Essendon vs Port Adelaide

Port Adelaide to win 57%

Port Adelaide are the market pick on the road here. Consensus odds from 6 bookmakers imply a 57% win probability against Essendon, with 1.74 the best available price on the result. Derived from published odds β€” not betting advice.

Geelong Cats vs Richmond

Geelong Cats to win 92%

Geelong Cats are the market pick at home here. Consensus odds from 6 bookmakers imply a 94% win probability against Richmond, with 1.03 the best available price on the result. Derived from published odds β€” not betting advice.

Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs

Melbourne to win 68%

Melbourne are the market pick at home here. Consensus odds from 6 bookmakers imply a 68% win probability against Western Bulldogs, with 1.42 the best available price on the result. Derived from published odds β€” not betting advice.

Richmond vs St Kilda

Result: FT 45–94 βœ“ Correct

Our tip: St Kilda to win Β· 72% confidence

St Kilda vs Carlton

Result: FT 62–106 βœ“ Correct

Our tip: Carlton to win Β· 55% confidence

St Kilda vs Gold Coast SUNS

St Kilda to win 63%

St Kilda are the market pick at home here. Consensus odds from 6 bookmakers imply a 63% win probability against Gold Coast SUNS, with 1.57 the best available price on the result. Derived from published odds β€” not betting advice.

Sydney Swans vs North Melbourne

Sydney Swans to win 53%

The match-winner market rates Sydney Swans clear favourites at home: consensus across 6 bookmakers puts them at roughly 53% implied probability, 5 points ahead of North Melbourne, with a best available price of 1.91. Derived from published odds β€” not betting advice.

West Coast Eagles vs Hawthorn

Hawthorn to win 89%

The match-winner market rates Hawthorn clear favourites on the road: consensus across 6 bookmakers puts them at roughly 89% implied probability, 77 points ahead of West Coast Eagles, with a best available price of 1.11. Derived from published odds β€” not betting advice.

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